Rhode Island
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
825  Shelby Aarden FR 21:22
1,064  Alyssa Brehler SO 21:39
1,939  Nichole Barger FR 22:38
1,984  Paige Ethier JR 22:42
2,861  Bailey Thayer FR 24:15
2,917  Lanie Jowett SR 24:27
3,025  Saige Grazia FR 24:52
3,039  Kelley Magill FR 24:55
National Rank #255 of 339
Northeast Region Rank #33 of 43
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 32nd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Shelby Aarden Alyssa Brehler Nichole Barger Paige Ethier Bailey Thayer Lanie Jowett Saige Grazia Kelley Magill
CCSU Ted Owen Invitational 09/26 1333 21:39 21:38 22:57 22:52 24:34 24:57 24:59
NEICAAA Championship 10/10 1363 21:14 22:50 22:48 24:33 23:57 24:46
Brown - Rothenberg Collegiate Meet 10/16 1285 21:26 21:29 22:38 22:43 23:49 25:02 24:41
Atlantic 10 Championships 10/31 1293 21:18 22:22 22:15 22:25 24:09 25:04 24:47 25:10





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 31.1 896 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.3 3.1 5.2 8.0 13.0 17.4



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Aarden 96.7
Alyssa Brehler 123.6
Nichole Barger 201.4
Paige Ethier 204.5
Bailey Thayer 273.5
Lanie Jowett 277.0
Saige Grazia 283.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 0.1% 0.1 22
23 0.2% 0.2 23
24 0.3% 0.3 24
25 0.7% 0.7 25
26 1.3% 1.3 26
27 3.1% 3.1 27
28 5.2% 5.2 28
29 8.0% 8.0 29
30 13.0% 13.0 30
31 17.4% 17.4 31
32 23.6% 23.6 32
33 22.7% 22.7 33
34 3.9% 3.9 34
35 0.3% 0.3 35
36 0.0% 0.0 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0